Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5299
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 5299 · LAX → FAT
departs 10:32 AM PT · arrives 11:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 11/16 16%
Tue 11/17 18%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 19%
Fri 11/20 19%
Sat 11/21 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from LAX are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.