Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 18
OO 5787 · FAT → DEN
departs 9:00 AM PT · arrives 12:34 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Mon 11/16 7%
Tue 11/17 7%
Wed 11/18
Thu 11/19 12%
Fri 11/20 12%
Sat 11/21 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
FAT is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.