tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4643 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4643 · ORF → ORD

departs 11:58 AM ET · arrives 1:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±2 pts −16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.