tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:13 pm at Fort Lauderdale)
Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 14:30, is the safest bet: 49% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 56% of the time.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → FLL 18:40 SLC 21:38 28% 8% 0.1% 76%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 41m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → SLC 22:13DL 1051 9h 26m 97% 71%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:56 → CVG 18:32DL 2776 1h 27m Hebron CVG 19:59 → SLC 21:44DL 2149 7h 48m 83% 67%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 22:25 → SLC 00:26 +1DL 453 9h 40m 98% 64%
AmericanDetails → FLL 13:32 → ORD 15:58AA 1443 3h 40m Chicago ORD 19:38 → SLC 22:13AA 3133 10h 41m 100% 60%
DeltaDetails → FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 17:55 → SLC 19:56DL 653 8h 28m 95% 59%
UnitedDetails → FLL 15:14 → IAH 17:10UA 2724 3h 15m Houston IAH 20:25 → SLC 22:43UA 2157 9h 29m 94% 57%
AmericanDetails → FLL 13:55 → CLT 16:08AA 1877 2h 36m Charlotte CLT 18:44 → SLC 21:12AA 2611 9h 17m 94% 56%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 9h 07m 96% 53%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 15:57 → PHL 18:53AA 1855 1h 01m Philadelphia PHL 19:54 → SLC 23:08AA 2610 9h 11m 65% 37%
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:29 → DFW 19:49AA 1862 1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → SLC 22:59AA 2993 7h 30m 63% 33%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 47m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 6h 51m 56% 31%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON