tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:21 pm at Houston); 1 already left
Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: American via Charlotte, leaving 14:59, is the safest bet: 45% chance of reaching West Palm Beach on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 48% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → IAH 14:59 → CLT 18:31AA 1478 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 20:50 → PBI 22:44AA 1912 6h 45m 87% 45%
AmericanDetails → IAH 17:26 → CLT 21:10AA 1920 1h 46m Charlotte CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764 6h 25m 82% 43%
DeltaDetails → IAH 16:51 → ATL 20:13DL 2890 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 00m 94% 42%
AmericanDetails → IAH 14:05 → DFW 15:32AA 2512 3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:50 → PBI 22:45AA 2467 7h 40m 89% 39%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:38 → ATL 17:54DL 1572 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606 6h 44m 93% 35%
UnitedDetails → IAH 13:45 → EWR 18:29UA 1397 1h 50m Newark EWR 20:19 → PBI 23:28UA 2650 8h 43m 85% 34%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:38 → ATL 17:54DL 1572 1h 05m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058 5h 13m 67% 27%
DeltaDetails → IAH 18:53 → ATL 21:57DL 1651 1h 02m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 4h 58m 49% 22%
AmericanDetails → IAH 16:18 → DFW 17:48AA 3583 · flown by Envoy 1h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:50 → PBI 22:45AA 2467 5h 27m 48% 21%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON