Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:58 pm at West Palm Beach); 1 already left

Sunday, October 4 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 45–46% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 2282 American Flight history →	PBI 18:44	DFW 21:00	45%	14%	2.7%	51%
AA 2276 American Flight history →	PBI 14:14	DFW 16:28	46%	15%	3.4%	61%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PBI 17:05 → IAH 18:59UA 1752	2h 38m Houston	IAH 21:37 → DFW 22:59UA 1183	6h 54m	89%	58%
American Details →	PBI 17:27 → CLT 19:31AA 2270	3h 05m Charlotte	CLT 22:36 → DFW 00:29 +1AA 1271	8h 02m	96%	57%
American Details →	PBI 13:50 → CLT 15:54AA 2279	3h 58m Charlotte	CLT 19:52 → DFW 21:44AA 1698	8h 54m	98%	50%
Delta Details →	PBI 13:40 → BOS 17:01DL 1205	2h 19m Boston	BOS 19:20 → DFW 22:39DL 2305	9h 59m	94%	49%
American Details →	PBI 13:05 → ORD 15:29AA 2269	2h 03m Chicago	ORD 17:32 → DFW 20:05AA 2499	8h 00m	93%	49%
Delta Details →	PBI 18:27 → ATL 20:34DL 1458	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818	6h 46m	90%	48%
United Details →	PBI 13:12 → EWR 16:13UA 353	2h 57m Newark	EWR 19:10 → DFW 22:04UA 2856	9h 52m	95%	45%
American Details →	PBI 15:08 → LGA 18:09AA 4475 · flown by Republic	2h 08m New York	LGA 20:17 → DFW 22:58AA 2092	8h 50m	92%	45%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	PBI 16:08 → ORD 18:42UA 312	1h 08m Chicago	ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673	7h 28m	60%	36%
United Details →	PBI 17:05 → IAH 18:59UA 1752	1h 00m Houston	IAH 19:59 → DFW 21:25UA 1949	5h 20m	58%	24%
American Details →	PBI 15:08 → LGA 18:09AA 4475 · flown by Republic	48m New York	LGA 18:57 → DFW 21:39AA 2238	7h 31m	50%	20%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 4 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON