Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:38 pm at Nashville); 3 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 669 Southwest Flight history →	BNA 18:45	SAV 21:15	35%	7%	0.2%	54%
WN 4852 Southwest	BNA 19:05	SAV 21:40	35%	7%	0.2%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	BNA 17:57 → CLT 20:18AA 519	2h 27m Charlotte	CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517	5h 00m	93%	63%
Delta Details →	BNA 18:55 → ATL 21:16DL 719	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	3h 58m	77%	61%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	BNA 19:19 → CLT 21:55AA 1497	50m Charlotte	CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517	3h 38m	38%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON