Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:33 pm at Boston); 3 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 15:10, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Savannah on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 34% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 15:10 → ATL 18:10DL 638	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 21:40 → SAV 22:49DL 3168	7h 39m	96%	73%
Delta Details →	BOS 16:30 → ATL 19:38DL 399	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	7h 23m	97%	72%
Southwest Details →	BOS 15:55 → BWI 17:40WN 1053	2h 55m Baltimore	BWI 20:35 → SAV 22:35WN 4611	6h 40m	96%	71%
United Details →	BOS 15:13 → ORD 17:05UA 1475	1h 15m Chicago	ORD 18:20 → SAV 21:56UA 3496 · flown by Republic	6h 43m	77%	62%
Delta Details →	BOS 15:00 → LGA 16:30DL 5736 · flown by Republic	3h 08m New York	LGA 19:38 → SAV 21:50DL 5398 · flown by Endeavor	6h 50m	97%	60%
United Details →	BOS 15:47 → EWR 17:28UA 1647	3h 23m Newark	EWR 20:51 → SAV 23:15UA 2645	7h 28m	92%	58%
American Details →	BOS 16:46 → CLT 19:28AA 1573	3h 17m Charlotte	CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517	7h 11m	97%	57%
American Details →	BOS 15:27 → PHL 16:35AA 1776	3h 25m Philadelphia	PHL 20:00 → SAV 22:27AA 5273 · flown by PSA	7h 00m	95%	54%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	BOS 18:55 → EWR 20:23UA 1693	1h 06m Newark	EWR 21:29 → SAV 23:52UA 2291	4h 57m	64%	41%
American Details →	BOS 17:55 → MIA 21:35AA 1562	46m Miami	MIA 22:21 → SAV 23:59AA 3920 · flown by Envoy	6h 04m	34%	30%
American Details →	BOS 17:23 → DCA 19:14AA 1557	47m Washington	DCA 20:01 → SAV 21:57AA 5384 · flown by PSA	4h 34m	48%	20%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON