Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 419 Southwest Flight history →	BUR 10:20	ABQ 13:10	15%	3%	0.5%	96%worse than usual
WN 983 Southwest	BUR 17:30	ABQ 20:29	19%	7%	0.7%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 09:45 → SLC 12:43DL 3681 · flown by SkyWest	1h 27m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:10 → ABQ 15:54DL 3820 · flown by SkyWest	5h 09m	96%	85%
Southwest Details →	BUR 08:20 → LAS 09:30WN 786	1h 15m Las Vegas	LAS 10:45 → ABQ 13:20WN 2175	4h 00m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	97%	83%
Southwest Details →	BUR 07:10 → DEN 10:30WN 778	1h 24m Denver	DEN 11:54 → ABQ 13:19WN 1527	5h 09m	98%	82%
Southwest Details →	BUR 17:00 → OAK 18:15WN 806	2h 35m Oakland	OAK 20:50 → ABQ 00:10 +1WN 3149	6h 10m	99%	82%
Southwest Details →	BUR 08:35 → DEN 11:50WN 351	3h 45m Denver	DEN 15:35 → ABQ 17:00WN 160	7h 25m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	BUR 11:35 → OAK 12:50WN 803	3h 25m Oakland	OAK 16:15 → ABQ 19:30WN 237	6h 55m	100%	77%
Southwest Details →	BUR 14:45 → DEN 18:10WN 138	3h 11m Denver	DEN 21:21 → ABQ 22:46WN 1784	7h 01m	100%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	BUR 16:13 → SFO 17:41UA 357	1h 07m San Francisco	SFO 18:48 → ABQ 22:25UA 737	5h 12m	73%	54%
Southwest Details →	BUR 17:20 → LAS 18:30WN 792	55m Las Vegas	LAS 19:25 → ABQ 21:55WN 4074	3h 35m	72%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON