tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: AA 2599 at 07:01 is the safest bet, 13% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2599 American Flight history → BUR 07:01 DFW 12:19 13% 4% 1.3% 92%
AA 1617 American Flight history → BUR 12:57 DFW 18:22 30% 8% 1.2% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453 3h 37m San Francisco SFO 18:50 → DFW 00:37 +1UA 2478 8h 52m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → BUR 09:08 → DEN 12:35UA 1191 3h 07m Denver DEN 15:42 → DFW 18:48UA 414 7h 40m 99% 82%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562 1h 18m Portland PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392 7h 33m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 3h 49m Salt Lake City SLC 13:50 → DFW 17:33DL 2811 8h 33m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 2h 37m Denver DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565 7h 11m 97% 77%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488 1h 55m San Francisco SFO 10:25 → DFW 16:08UA 2842 7h 06m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 2h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796 6h 48m 99% 75%
AmericanDetails → BUR 09:16 → PHX 10:52AA 3992 · flown by Envoy 2h 43m Phoenix PHX 13:35 → DFW 18:12AA 1079 6h 56m 100% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON