tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1045 at 20:40, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1045 Southwest Flight history → BWI 20:40 PBI 23:20 22% 6% 0.7% 64%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 07:10 → ISP 08:20WN 4816 2h 50m Islip ISP 11:10 → PBI 14:00WN 2147 6h 50m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → BWI 06:15 → ORD 07:30UA 709 3h 20m Chicago ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342 8h 36m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → BWI 08:17 → ATL 10:10DL 2562 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838 7h 33m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 15:27 → PBI 17:22DL 1458 6h 49m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 7h 14m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → BWI 17:00 → ATL 19:08DL 2799 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 51m 98% 77%
AmericanDetails → BWI 10:31 → ORD 11:46AA 3446 · flown by Envoy 2h 05m Chicago ORD 13:51 → PBI 18:03AA 2275 7h 32m 97% 76%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:52 → ATL 13:41DL 801 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → PBI 18:36DL 959 6h 44m 99% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → BWI 20:18 → CLT 21:55AA 1637 1h 01m Charlotte CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764 4h 33m 71% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON