Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 14 nonstops
Tomorrow: AA 3320 at 07:38 is the safest bet, 14% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 33–44%.
Against a calm day
27%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 23% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 3320 American Flight history → | CLT 07:38 | TPA 09:22 | 14% | 4% | 0.6% | 93% |
| AA 649 American | CLT 07:58 | TPA 09:50 | 16% | 4% | 0.6% | no record |
| AA 2828 American Flight history → | CLT 09:15 | TPA 11:04 | 20% | 4% | 0.6% | 85% |
| AA 436 American Flight history → | CLT 11:41 | TPA 13:32 | 20% | 6% | 1.3% | 83% |
| AA 1974 American | CLT 09:32 | TPA 11:24 | 23% | 5% | 0.6% | no record |
| AA 2836 American Flight history → | CLT 11:20 | TPA 13:04 | 23% | 6% | 1.3% | 73% |
| AA 1037 American | CLT 12:58 | TPA 14:50 | 24% | 6% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 2832 American Flight history → | CLT 12:54 | TPA 14:38 | 25% | 5% | 1.3% | 75% |
| AA 545 American | CLT 15:39 | TPA 17:27 | 31% | 9% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 2753 American | CLT 16:30 | TPA 18:21 | 33% | 10% | 1.6% | no record |
| AA 2777 American Flight history → | CLT 15:57 | TPA 17:41 | 35% | 10% | 1.3% | 53% |
| AA 3051 American | CLT 18:51 | TPA 20:43 | 38% | 16% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 1032 American Flight history → | CLT 18:00 | TPA 19:51 | 39% | 14% | 1.2% | 56% |
| AA 2022 American Flight history → | CLT 20:16 | TPA 21:59 | 44% | 14% | 1.2% | 68%worse than usual |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON