tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:33 am at Columbus); 3 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 114 Southwest Flight history → CMH 13:50 MIA 16:25 16% 4% 0.2% 73%
AA 4085 American flown by Envoy Flight history → CMH 18:19 MIA 21:02 16% 4% 0.6% 76%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CMH 12:05 → DTW 13:16DL 5810 · flown by Republic 2h 43m Detroit DTW 15:59 → MIA 19:18DL 866 7h 13m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → CMH 13:55 → ORD 14:29AA 3961 · flown by Envoy 3h 30m Chicago ORD 17:59 → MIA 22:20AA 2690 8h 25m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → CMH 14:45 → ORD 15:27AA 4954 · flown by SkyWest 3h 59m Chicago ORD 19:26 → MIA 23:35AA 1159 8h 50m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → CMH 14:19 → ORD 14:55UA 493 3h 10m Chicago ORD 18:05 → MIA 22:27UA 2180 8h 08m 91% 78%
SouthwestDetails → CMH 17:35 → BWI 19:00WN 1034 1h 30m Baltimore BWI 20:30 → MIA 23:20WN 235 5h 45m 92% 74%
AmericanDetails → CMH 12:39 → DCA 14:19AA 4700 · flown by Republic 3h 21m Washington DCA 17:40 → MIA 20:34AA 1612 7h 55m 99% 73%
AmericanDetails → CMH 13:15 → LGA 15:19AA 4381 · flown by Republic 3h 05m New York LGA 18:24 → MIA 21:48AA 716 8h 33m 99% 71%
AmericanDetails → CMH 12:10 → DCA 13:37AA 4405 · flown by Republic 3h 41m Washington DCA 17:18 → MIA 19:59AA 582 7h 49m 99% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CMH 17:16 → ATL 19:00DL 2200 53m Atlanta ATL 19:53 → MIA 21:59DL 1588 4h 43m 71% 47%
DeltaDetails → CMH 14:43 → ATL 16:22DL 1750 47m Atlanta ATL 17:09 → MIA 19:25DL 1631 4h 42m 62% 44%
AmericanDetails → CMH 13:01 → PHL 14:40AA 2905 49m Philadelphia PHL 15:29 → MIA 18:29AA 3061 5h 28m 56% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON