tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:36 am at Colorado Springs); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 18:16, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 60% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 1h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 21:17 → MSP 00:53 +1DL 8803 5h 37m 88% 76%
SouthwestDetails → COS 14:40 → MDW 18:00WN 1228 3h 25m Chicago MDW 21:25 → MSP 22:55WN 2052 7h 15m 100% 75%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 2h 34m Denver DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667 5h 52m 92% 69%
UnitedDetails → COS 15:02 → DEN 16:15UA 4657 · flown by SkyWest 2h 30m Denver DEN 18:45 → MSP 21:50UA 2076 5h 48m 85% 66%
UnitedDetails → COS 12:11 → ORD 15:56UA 1398 2h 24m Chicago ORD 18:20 → MSP 19:50UA 2865 6h 39m 97% 65%
UnitedDetails → COS 13:30 → DEN 14:24UA 730 1h 18m Denver DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470 4h 16m 82% 65%
AmericanDetails → COS 15:46 → DFW 18:47AA 1695 2h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:30 → MSP 23:57AA 3149 7h 11m 92% 59%
DeltaDetails → COS 13:40 → ATL 18:44DL 2427 1h 15m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280 6h 58m 84% 59%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → COS 18:32 → DEN 19:45UA 5391 · flown by SkyWest 1h 09m Denver DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667 4h 27m 75% 57%
SouthwestDetails → COS 16:55 → DEN 17:45WN 1222 1h 10m Denver DEN 18:55 → MSP 21:57WN 2177 4h 02m 73% 51%
AmericanDetails → COS 17:15 → DFW 20:19AA 4956 · flown by SkyWest 1h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:30 → MSP 23:57AA 3149 5h 42m 60% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON