tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:22 am at Colorado Springs); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 37%, against 22% on a calm day. Safest: WN 1232 at 12:20, 37%.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1232 Southwest Flight history → COS 12:20 SAN 13:35 37% 9% 0.1% 46%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → COS 18:16 → SLC 20:09DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 6h 34m 99% 77%
UnitedDetails → COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m Denver DEN 15:55 → SAN 17:20UA 1281 6h 49m 98% 69%
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 2h 44m Denver DEN 21:04 → SAN 22:43UA 2395 6h 36m 94% 63%
UnitedDetails → COS 15:02 → DEN 16:15UA 4657 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Denver DEN 19:20 → SAN 20:46UA 540 6h 44m 88% 55%
SouthwestDetails → COS 16:55 → DEN 17:45WN 1222 3h 20m Denver DEN 21:05 → SAN 22:29WN 3408 6h 34m 97% 53%
AmericanDetails → COS 17:15 → DFW 20:19AA 4956 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:55 → SAN 23:59AA 2568 7h 44m 92% 53%
SouthwestDetails → COS 19:55 → LAS 20:55WN 1227 1h 50m Las Vegas LAS 22:45 → SAN 00:03 +1WN 2397 5h 08m 91% 51%
UnitedDetails → COS 18:32 → DEN 19:45UA 5391 · flown by SkyWest 1h 15m Denver DEN 21:00 → SAN 22:25UA 1835 4h 53m 76% 51%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest 1h 00m Denver DEN 19:20 → SAN 20:46UA 540 4h 39m 61% 38%
SouthwestDetails → COS 16:55 → DEN 17:45WN 1222 1h 10m Denver DEN 18:55 → SAN 20:15WN 1703 4h 20m 72% 37%
AmericanDetails → COS 17:15 → DFW 20:19AA 4956 · flown by SkyWest 1h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:34 → SAN 22:37AA 1011 6h 22m 68% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON