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Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 15:59, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching West Palm Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 52m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 15:27 → PBI 17:22DL 1458 6h 15m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058 7h 32m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 5h 49m 97% 81%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → BWI 09:55WN 1280 1h 40m Baltimore BWI 11:35 → PBI 14:05WN 1044 7h 05m 99% 81%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 10:00 → BNA 11:50WN 5062 3h 25m Nashville BNA 15:15 → PBI 18:25WN 4848 7h 25m 96% 77%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283 1h 30m Baltimore BWI 20:40 → PBI 23:20WN 1045 7h 10m 92% 73%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 15:05 → MCO 18:50WN 1352 2h 00m Orlando MCO 20:50 → PBI 22:05WN 2678 6h 00m 94% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON