Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:57 pm at Dallas-Fort Worth); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 48–52% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 2757 American	DFW 19:01	GEG 20:57	48%	11%	0.2%	no record
AA 1446 American Flight history →	DFW 18:58	GEG 20:45	52%	12%	0.2%	49%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 18:12 → SLC 20:00DL 2812	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	7h 43m	95%	72%
Alaska Details →	DFW 18:03 → SEA 20:24AS 322	2h 30m Seattle	SEA 22:54 → GEG 23:59AS 350	7h 56m	98%	50%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DFW 18:31 → MSP 21:00DL 2873	59m Minneapolis	MSP 21:59 → GEG 23:06DL 2418	6h 35m	64%	47%
American Details →	DFW 18:39 → PHX 19:12AA 2047	1h 01m Phoenix	PHX 20:13 → GEG 23:01AA 2876	6h 22m	42%	22%
American Details →	DFW 19:14 → PHX 19:43AA 818	47m Phoenix	PHX 20:30 → GEG 23:06AA 1785	5h 52m	20%	10%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON