Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:57 am at Newark)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


UA 4191 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 08:30	CAE 10:39	15%	5%	0.0%	85%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:00AA 2505	3h 11m Charlotte	CLT 11:11 → CAE 12:20AA 5994 · flown by Piedmont	6h 20m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor	5h 16m	95%	88%
American Details →	EWR 05:00 → CLT 06:57AA 1113	2h 38m Charlotte	CLT 09:35 → CAE 10:44AA 6042 · flown by Piedmont	5h 44m	97%	84%
American Details →	EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → CAE 14:07AA 6047 · flown by Piedmont	6h 37m	98%	79%
Delta Details →	EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 22:39 → CAE 23:43DL 3029	7h 14m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397	3h 16m Atlanta	ATL 17:46 → CAE 18:49DL 1516	6h 49m	97%	74%
United Details →	EWR 09:20 → ORD 11:04UA 2290	2h 51m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → CAE 17:05UA 4523 · flown by GoJet	7h 45m	97%	72%
United Details →	EWR 06:00 → IAD 07:22UA 1366	53m Dulles	IAD 08:15 → CAE 09:56UA 4818 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 56m	90%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	EWR 15:08 → IAD 16:32UA 1992	49m Dulles	IAD 17:21 → CAE 19:09UA 4364 · flown by CommuteAir	4h 01m	43%	35%
United Details →	EWR 11:25 → ORD 13:08UA 1875	47m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → CAE 17:05UA 4523 · flown by GoJet	5h 40m	46%	34%
American Details →	EWR 17:21 → ORD 19:23AA 1936	51m Chicago	ORD 20:14 → CAE 23:19AA 4275 · flown by Envoy	5h 58m	37%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON