tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 2466 at 16:40, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2466 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 16:40 BUF 19:43 31% 10% 0.7% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Buffalo on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:30 → TPA 06:35WN 429 2h 20m Tampa TPA 08:55 → BUF 11:35WN 484 6h 05m 98% 85%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 06:25 → BWI 08:55WN 396 1h 50m Baltimore BWI 10:45 → BUF 12:05WN 973 5h 40m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 09:10 → BUF 11:11DL 1384 5h 48m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 14m Detroit DTW 10:10 → BUF 11:22DL 3636 · flown by SkyWest 5h 22m 97% 81%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 08:00 → BWI 10:30WN 1651 2h 20m Baltimore BWI 12:50 → BUF 14:10WN 945 6h 10m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294 3h 04m Detroit DTW 22:50 → BUF 23:58DL 978 7h 18m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → FLL 10:04 → EWR 13:10UA 2387 3h 27m Newark EWR 16:37 → BUF 18:05UA 3607 · flown by Republic 8h 01m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 3h 29m New York JFK 13:29 → BUF 15:09DL 5296 · flown by Endeavor 8h 03m 99% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:33 → ORD 20:16AA 2440 1h 03m Chicago ORD 21:19 → BUF 23:59AA 403 6h 26m 72% 54%
UnitedDetails → FLL 12:46 → EWR 15:50UA 1611 47m Newark EWR 16:37 → BUF 18:05UA 3607 · flown by Republic 5h 19m 65% 52%
JetBlueDetails → FLL 18:35 → JFK 21:39B6 1802 50m New York JFK 22:29 → BUF 00:13 +1B6 102 5h 38m 57% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON