Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:17 am at Spokane)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


AS 2019 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	GEG 15:35	SNA 18:19	54%	15%	0.0%	46%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Santa Ana on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	GEG 15:16 → PDX 16:32AS 3202 · flown by SkyWest	3h 27m Portland	PDX 19:59 → SNA 22:30AS 518	7h 14m	99%	89%
Alaska Details →	GEG 12:42 → PDX 13:52AS 251	3h 40m Portland	PDX 17:32 → SNA 20:02AS 574	7h 20m	100%	84%
Alaska Details →	GEG 14:39 → SEA 15:49AS 2119 · flown by Horizon	3h 21m Seattle	SEA 19:10 → SNA 22:01AS 631	7h 22m	97%	82%
Southwest Details →	GEG 12:20 → OAK 14:30WN 441	3h 56m Oakland	OAK 18:26 → SNA 20:02WN 1265	7h 42m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	GEG 06:00 → DEN 09:10WN 1333	2h 15m Denver	DEN 11:25 → SNA 12:50WN 4175	6h 50m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	GEG 17:30 → SMF 19:25WN 1890	1h 30m Sacramento	SMF 20:55 → SNA 22:33WN 503	5h 03m	93%	80%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	2h 53m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:55 → SNA 11:50DL 1835	6h 30m	99%	80%
Alaska Details →	GEG 13:36 → SEA 14:45AS 455	2h 35m Seattle	SEA 17:20 → SNA 20:08AS 472	6h 32m	99%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	GEG 14:15 → DEN 17:30WN 1880	54m Denver	DEN 18:24 → SNA 19:48WN 3728	5h 33m	68%	49%
Alaska Details →	GEG 09:06 → SEA 10:18AS 2069 · flown by Horizon	48m Seattle	SEA 11:06 → SNA 13:55AS 1357	4h 49m	55%	39%
Alaska Details →	GEG 08:31 → PDX 09:46AS 3201 · flown by SkyWest	52m Portland	PDX 10:38 → SNA 13:15AS 588	4h 44m	33%	29%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON