Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2147 at 14:55, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2147 Southwest	HOU 14:55	PIT 18:41	28%	8%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 08:10 → MDW 10:40WN 1294	2h 40m Chicago	MDW 13:20 → PIT 15:51WN 2964	6h 41m	100%	90%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:30 → LAS 06:30WN 3671	1h 15m Las Vegas	LAS 07:45 → PIT 14:52WN 2004	8h 22m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:25 → BWI 09:30WN 3797	1h 10m Baltimore	BWI 10:40 → PIT 11:49WN 4681	5h 24m	96%	84%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:30 → DEN 06:55WN 1970	3h 05m Denver	DEN 10:00 → PIT 15:10WN 4012	8h 40m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	HOU 13:30 → MDW 15:55WN 2041	3h 43m Chicago	MDW 19:38 → PIT 22:09WN 4803	7h 39m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:10 → BNA 09:10WN 1954	1h 16m Nashville	BNA 10:26 → PIT 13:04WN 4514	4h 54m	96%	83%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:20 → STL 09:25WN 4084	55m St Louis	STL 10:20 → PIT 13:07WN 568	4h 47m	88%	82%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	5h 52m	96%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	HOU 17:40 → BNA 19:35WN 1957	55m Nashville	BNA 20:30 → PIT 23:10WN 646	4h 30m	72%	55%
American Details →	HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:57 → PIT 18:43AA 2307	4h 57m	57%	39%
Southwest Details →	HOU 18:05 → MCO 21:30WN 2036	55m Orlando	MCO 22:25 → PIT 00:55 +1WN 353	5h 50m	65%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON