Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 12 nonstops
Tomorrow: UA 1966 at 07:25 is the safest bet, 9% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 19–29%.
Against a calm day
18%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 15% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| UA 1966 United Flight history → | IAH 07:25 | MIA 11:12 | 9% | 3% | 0.6% | 89% |
| AA 2144 American Flight history → | IAH 05:52 | MIA 09:24 | 9% | 3% | 1.8% | 93% |
| AA 1047 American Flight history → | IAH 05:10 | MIA 08:51 | 9% | 3% | 1.9% | 91% |
| UA 2753 United | IAH 07:51 | MIA 11:35 | 11% | 4% | 0.6% | no record |
| UA 410 United Flight history → | IAH 12:00 | MIA 15:47 | 16% | 5% | 0.6% | 84% |
| AA 1347 American Flight history → | IAH 07:35 | MIA 11:20 | 16% | 4% | 1.3% | 87% |
| UA 2740 United Flight history → | IAH 16:50 | MIA 20:33 | 19% | 6% | 0.6% | 75% |
| AA 603 American Flight history → | IAH 09:40 | MIA 13:22 | 20% | 5% | 1.3% | 75% |
| AA 3100 American | IAH 09:48 | MIA 13:22 | 22% | 5% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 1918 American Flight history → | IAH 11:20 | MIA 15:01 | 24% | 6% | 1.3% | 57% |
| F9 1068 Frontier Flight history → | IAH 20:37 | MIA 00:31 | 26% | 14% | 1.2% | 67% |
| AA 1931 American Flight history → | IAH 18:12 | MIA 21:50 | 29% | 6% | 1.6% | 42% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON