tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:46 pm at Indianapolis); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via LAX, leaving 17:25, is the safest bet: 69% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 51% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IND 17:25 → LAX 18:45DL 861 3h 16m Los Angeles LAX 22:01 → SLC 00:51 +1DL 8785 9h 26m 98% 69%
DeltaDetails → IND 17:30 → DTW 18:51DL 5827 · flown by Republic 1h 29m Detroit DTW 20:20 → SLC 22:15DL 2117 6h 45m 87% 68%
DeltaDetails → IND 18:37 → ATL 20:28DL 2979 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 22:25 → SLC 00:26 +1DL 453 7h 49m 98% 67%
UnitedDetails → IND 17:26 → IAH 19:08UA 1420 1h 17m Houston IAH 20:25 → SLC 22:43UA 2157 7h 17m 88% 59%
SouthwestDetails → IND 20:00 → LAS 20:55WN 4753 2h 00m Las Vegas LAS 22:55 → SLC 01:20 +1WN 1454 7h 20m 92% 56%
SouthwestDetails → IND 17:40 → MDW 17:55WN 961 3h 25m Chicago MDW 21:20 → SLC 23:38WN 4435 7h 58m 100% 55%
AmericanDetails → IND 17:23 → DFW 18:55AA 1956 3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:06 → SLC 00:01 +1AA 2507 8h 38m 97% 53%
AmericanDetails → IND 16:49 → PHL 18:49AA 5592 · flown by PSA 1h 05m Philadelphia PHL 19:54 → SLC 23:08AA 2610 8h 19m 77% 37%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → IND 19:51 → ORD 20:29AA 1951 49m Chicago ORD 21:18 → SLC 23:43AA 2545 5h 52m 57% 37%
SouthwestDetails → IND 19:15 → DEN 20:05WN 1064 48m Denver DEN 20:53 → SLC 22:23WN 4270 5h 08m 63% 33%
SouthwestDetails → IND 21:15 → PHX 22:00WN 2136 50m Phoenix PHX 22:50 → SLC 01:30 +1WN 849 6h 15m 51% 25%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON