tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:40 pm at Jackson); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 18:05, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Atlanta on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 61% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JAC 18:05 → SLC 19:15DL 417 3h 18m Salt Lake City SLC 22:33 → ATL 04:21 +1DL 8806 8h 16m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → JAC 13:15 → SLC 14:22DL 2282 3h 33m Salt Lake City SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905 8h 43m 96% 78%
UnitedDetails → JAC 13:42 → DEN 15:18UA 1717 2h 32m Denver DEN 17:50 → ATL 22:57UA 248 7h 15m 96% 69%
UnitedDetails → JAC 14:44 → DEN 16:21UA 2791 1h 27m Denver DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305 6h 13m 88% 62%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → JAC 13:43 → ORD 18:05AA 1974 54m Chicago ORD 18:59 → ATL 22:03AA 2779 6h 20m 61% 38%
AmericanDetails → JAC 16:15 → DFW 20:09AA 883 1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → ATL 00:19 +1AA 2749 6h 04m 63% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON