tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 2212 at 12:50, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2212 United Flight history → LAX 12:50 BZN 16:24 11% 5% 0.5% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → LAX 05:20 → LAS 06:35WN 2403 55m Las Vegas LAS 07:30 → BZN 10:35WN 392 4h 15m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → LAX 05:00 → DEN 08:22UA 1010 3h 11m Denver DEN 11:33 → BZN 13:20UA 741 7h 20m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAX 07:15 → SLC 10:10DL 1318 3h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 13:50 → BZN 15:13DL 3906 · flown by SkyWest 6h 58m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → LAX 05:35 → SLC 08:30DL 2906 1h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 09:55 → BZN 11:17DL 1971 4h 42m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → LAX 07:00 → DEN 10:29UA 703 3h 15m Denver DEN 13:44 → BZN 15:33UA 513 7h 33m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → LAX 08:47 → DEN 12:13UA 1912 3h 02m Denver DEN 15:15 → BZN 17:10UA 6030 · flown by SkyWest 7h 23m 99% 86%
SouthwestDetails → LAX 05:55 → DEN 09:20WN 2943 3h 10m Denver DEN 12:30 → BZN 14:10WN 4219 7h 15m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311 3h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 23:05 → BZN 00:23 +1DL 2046 6h 18m 99% 86%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → LAX 10:55 → DEN 14:27UA 2061 48m Denver DEN 15:15 → BZN 17:10UA 6030 · flown by SkyWest 5h 15m 74% 64%
AmericanDetails → LAX 12:15 → DFW 17:34AA 1230 56m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → BZN 20:39AA 1774 7h 24m 70% 49%
AlaskaDetails → LAX 08:05 → SEA 10:39AS 495 50m Seattle SEA 11:29 → BZN 14:09AS 285 5h 04m 17% 13%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON