Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:50 am at Los Angeles)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 23–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


UA 5461 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 21:26	PSP 22:30	23%	9%	0.7%	97%worse than usual
UA 5345 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	LAX 18:56	PSP 20:00	24%	7%	0.4%	90%worse than usual

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	LAX 09:00 → SJC 10:15WN 2431	2h 35m San Jose	SJC 12:50 → PSP 14:20WN 1573	5h 20m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	LAX 09:55 → SLC 12:45DL 1434	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 38m	97%	85%
Southwest Details →	LAX 12:15 → SMF 13:35WN 265	3h 26m Sacramento	SMF 17:01 → PSP 18:39WN 1717	6h 24m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	LAX 09:00 → OAK 10:20WN 3014	3h 45m Oakland	OAK 14:05 → PSP 15:35WN 4199	6h 35m	100%	77%
Southwest Details →	LAX 11:55 → OAK 13:15WN 4893	3h 35m Oakland	OAK 16:50 → PSP 18:25WN 2502	6h 30m	100%	77%
United Details →	LAX 09:10 → SFO 10:45UA 520	3h 06m San Francisco	SFO 13:51 → PSP 15:26UA 342	6h 16m	100%	72%
United Details →	LAX 10:55 → SFO 12:30UA 1791	3h 26m San Francisco	SFO 15:56 → PSP 17:46UA 5354 · flown by SkyWest	6h 51m	99%	72%
United Details →	LAX 13:25 → SFO 14:53UA 372	3h 45m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest	7h 01m	100%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	LAX 17:05 → SLC 19:58DL 2311	47m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:45 → PSP 21:34DL 4045 · flown by SkyWest	4h 29m	57%	48%
Alaska Details →	LAX 14:27 → PDX 16:47AS 1315	49m Portland	PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest	5h 47m	57%	46%
Southwest Details →	LAX 20:20 → LAS 21:35WN 287	58m Las Vegas	LAS 22:33 → PSP 23:40WN 4651	3h 20m	60%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON