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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:33 am at Chicago)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2743 Southwest MDW 11:50 COS 13:20 21% 3% 0.1% no record
WN 1230 Southwest Flight history → MDW 12:30 COS 14:00 21% 4% 0.1% 69%

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → MDW 05:00 → DAL 07:15WN 1377 2h 00m Dallas DAL 09:15 → COS 10:22WN 551 6h 22m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 05:15 → DEN 06:50WN 2989 2h 00m Denver DEN 08:50 → COS 09:38WN 4386 5h 23m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 06:40 → DAL 09:00WN 3796 2h 05m Dallas DAL 11:05 → COS 12:00WN 3257 6h 20m 100% 78%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 16:55 → LAS 18:45WN 2797 3h 40m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → COS 01:20 +1WN 2214 9h 25m 99% 76%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 05:20 → PHX 06:55WN 2858 50m Phoenix PHX 07:45 → COS 10:30WN 4142 6h 10m 85% 76%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 09:55 → DEN 11:30WN 2654 1h 45m Denver DEN 13:15 → COS 14:03WN 3896 5h 08m 99% 72%
DeltaDetails → MDW 06:00 → ATL 08:57DL 1285 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427 7h 32m 96% 69%
SouthwestDetails → MDW 16:20 → DAL 18:35WN 2758 1h 55m Dallas DAL 20:30 → COS 21:35WN 1245 6h 15m 95% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → MDW 16:35 → PHX 18:15WN 2861 46m Phoenix PHX 19:01 → COS 21:49WN 2829 6h 14m 56% 35%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON