tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:31 am at Minneapolis)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2327 at 12:56, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2327 Delta Flight history → MSP 12:56 MYR 16:40 20% 4% 0.1% 82%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MSP 12:20 → MDW 13:45WN 3743 2h 35m Chicago MDW 16:20 → MYR 19:27WN 2089 6h 07m 99% 72%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 11:35 → DEN 12:35WN 4346 2h 35m Denver DEN 15:10 → MYR 20:30WN 4304 7h 55m 100% 70%
AmericanDetails → MSP 15:11 → DFW 17:50AA 2145 1h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:28 → MYR 23:16AA 4019 · flown by Envoy 7h 05m 93% 69%
DeltaDetails → MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 7h 35m 99% 68%
DeltaDetails → MSP 15:58 → ATL 19:41DL 1028 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074 6h 57m 97% 66%
AmericanDetails → MSP 10:56 → CLT 14:36AA 2154 3h 56m Charlotte CLT 18:32 → MYR 19:42AA 1417 7h 46m 100% 65%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 16:15 → MDW 17:45WN 2971 2h 00m Chicago MDW 19:45 → MYR 22:50WN 36 5h 35m 99% 64%
AmericanDetails → MSP 13:39 → CLT 17:23AA 2153 1h 29m Charlotte CLT 18:52 → MYR 20:03AA 2886 5h 24m 90% 58%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON