tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:38 am at Myrtle Beach); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 17:30, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 17:30 → MSP 19:29DL 2327 2h 46m Minneapolis MSP 22:15 → DEN 23:27DL 1705 7h 57m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → MYR 14:00 → STL 15:05WN 262 3h 35m St Louis STL 18:40 → DEN 20:01WN 2814 8h 01m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:34 → IAD 12:11UA 4324 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 45m Dulles IAD 15:56 → DEN 18:03UA 395 9h 29m 99% 81%
SouthwestDetails → MYR 10:35 → BNA 11:10WN 2997 2h 15m Nashville BNA 13:25 → DEN 15:10WN 503 6h 35m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 50m Detroit DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431 7h 53m 98% 78%
SouthwestDetails → MYR 12:00 → BWI 13:30WN 1695 3h 22m Baltimore BWI 16:52 → DEN 18:53WN 1406 8h 53m 100% 77%
UnitedDetails → MYR 15:15 → ORD 16:49UA 2467 2h 56m Chicago ORD 19:45 → DEN 21:19UA 329 8h 04m 95% 73%
AmericanDetails → MYR 16:16 → CLT 17:32AA 2214 3h 45m Charlotte CLT 21:17 → DEN 23:08AA 2366 8h 52m 97% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON