Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:32 am at Myrtle Beach)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2327 at 17:30, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2327 Delta Flight history →	MYR 17:30	MSP 19:29	13%	4%	0.5%	80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MYR 07:25 → MDW 08:30WN 4068	1h 25m Chicago	MDW 09:55 → MSP 11:26WN 2066	5h 01m	93%	83%
American Details →	MYR 12:52 → ORD 14:25AA 3733 · flown by Envoy	1h 18m Chicago	ORD 15:43 → MSP 17:32AA 4425 · flown by Republic	5h 40m	92%	81%
Southwest Details →	MYR 07:50 → BWI 09:10WN 3026	1h 15m Baltimore	BWI 10:25 → MSP 12:11WN 2545	5h 21m	93%	80%
United Details →	MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365	1h 56m Newark	EWR 13:55 → MSP 15:55UA 1068	6h 55m	95%	78%
United Details →	MYR 15:15 → ORD 16:49UA 2467	3h 08m Chicago	ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005	7h 26m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 15:38 → MSP 17:16DL 2981	6h 34m	98%	77%
American Details →	MYR 06:33 → DFW 08:45AA 4024 · flown by Envoy	3h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:07 → MSP 14:42AA 1668	9h 09m	97%	77%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 17m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153	7h 03m	99%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	MYR 18:50 → EWR 20:59UA 3714 · flown by Republic	56m Newark	EWR 21:55 → MSP 23:59UA 1331	6h 09m	61%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON