tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:04 pm at Omaha); 2 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: DL 3762 at 14:02 is the safest bet, 14% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3762 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 14:02 DTW 17:06 14% 4% 0.2% 77%
DL 3889 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OMA 17:53 DTW 20:56 25% 4% 0.2% 71%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 13:40 → MSP 15:02DL 3848 · flown by SkyWest 2h 33m Minneapolis MSP 17:35 → DTW 20:21DL 1435 5h 41m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → OMA 17:40 → MSP 19:04DL 3948 · flown by SkyWest 1h 58m Minneapolis MSP 21:02 → DTW 23:48DL 8805 5h 08m 93% 73%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 16:25 → MDW 17:50WN 4094 1h 45m Chicago MDW 19:35 → DTW 21:45WN 2746 4h 20m 92% 70%
UnitedDetails → OMA 15:13 → ORD 17:05UA 739 2h 42m Chicago ORD 19:47 → DTW 22:19UA 2426 6h 06m 94% 70%
UnitedDetails → OMA 12:57 → ORD 14:50UA 5587 · flown by SkyWest 3h 15m Chicago ORD 18:05 → DTW 20:26UA 642 6h 29m 98% 70%
DeltaDetails → OMA 13:40 → ATL 17:03DL 1125 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262 6h 31m 94% 65%
AmericanDetails → OMA 17:03 → CLT 20:41AA 3115 2h 10m Charlotte CLT 22:51 → DTW 00:41 +1AA 370 6h 38m 92% 63%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 16:15 → BNA 18:00WN 3126 2h 25m Nashville BNA 20:25 → DTW 23:08WN 4546 5h 53m 97% 63%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → OMA 18:40 → ORD 20:34UA 1476 46m Chicago ORD 21:20 → DTW 23:54UA 3475 · flown by Republic 4h 14m 62% 54%
UnitedDetails → OMA 15:13 → ORD 17:05UA 739 1h 00m Chicago ORD 18:05 → DTW 20:26UA 642 4h 13m 74% 53%
AmericanDetails → OMA 16:58 → DFW 19:01AA 2229 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:52 → DTW 23:28AA 313 5h 30m 57% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON