tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3129 at 17:25, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3129 Southwest Flight history → OMA 17:25 HOU 19:45 13% 3% 0.5% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → OMA 05:25 → MDW 06:50WN 4504 3h 20m Chicago MDW 10:10 → HOU 12:50WN 2783 7h 25m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195 6h 45m 99% 83%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 10:00 → DAL 11:50WN 4318 3h 40m Dallas DAL 15:30 → HOU 16:50WN 37 6h 50m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632 1h 34m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 5h 59m 97% 81%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 16:25 → MDW 17:50WN 4094 3h 50m Chicago MDW 21:40 → HOU 00:15 +1WN 954 7h 50m 100% 80%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 10:55 → MDW 12:20WN 1655 2h 40m Chicago MDW 15:00 → HOU 17:35WN 1124 6h 40m 100% 80%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 08:20 → MDW 09:45WN 4316 2h 05m Chicago MDW 11:50 → HOU 14:35WN 799 6h 15m 100% 80%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 17:15 → STL 18:30WN 3365 3h 15m St Louis STL 21:45 → HOU 23:50WN 4617 6h 35m 100% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → OMA 19:46 → DFW 21:44AA 2232 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA 4h 10m 68% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON