Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:44 am at Palm Springs); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PSP 12:23	SLC 15:11	11%	4%	0.2%	94%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PSP 17:15	SLC 20:00	12%	4%	0.3%	91%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843	2h 40m Denver	DEN 19:23 → SLC 20:56UA 2769	6h 26m	96%	70%
United Details →	PSP 16:07 → SFO 17:50UA 4786 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m San Francisco	SFO 20:54 → SLC 23:59UA 5753 · flown by SkyWest	6h 52m	98%	70%
American Details →	PSP 16:51 → PHX 18:05AA 2929	2h 13m Phoenix	PHX 20:18 → SLC 23:02AA 4968 · flown by SkyWest	5h 11m	97%	63%
American Details →	PSP 17:09 → PHX 18:23AA 3949 · flown by Envoy	1h 57m Phoenix	PHX 20:20 → SLC 23:03AA 4921 · flown by SkyWest	4h 54m	96%	61%
American Details →	PSP 14:01 → DFW 19:05AA 2548	2h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:10 → SLC 22:59AA 2993	7h 58m	93%	60%
United Details →	PSP 14:37 → SFO 16:18UA 5946 · flown by SkyWest	2h 16m San Francisco	SFO 18:34 → SLC 21:36UA 1552	5h 59m	98%	59%
Southwest Details →	PSP 16:10 → LAS 17:20WN 4199	3h 05m Las Vegas	LAS 20:25 → SLC 22:55WN 4225	5h 45m	100%	58%
United Details →	PSP 11:09 → SFO 12:52UA 5660 · flown by SkyWest	3h 19m San Francisco	SFO 16:11 → SLC 19:11UA 543	7h 02m	98%	57%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	PSP 12:43 → DFW 17:50AA 2334	58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:48 → SLC 20:34AA 558	6h 51m	74%	47%
United Details →	PSP 13:30 → SFO 15:11UA 1430	1h 00m San Francisco	SFO 16:11 → SLC 19:11UA 543	4h 41m	75%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON