Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:16 am at Providence)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, B6 2087 at 15:05, with a 35% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


B6 2087 JetBlue Flight history →	PVD 15:05	PBI 18:11	35%	14%	9.7%	80%worse than usual

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PVD 17:24 → ATL 20:14DL 2314	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065	7h 27m	97%	78%
Southwest Details →	PVD 17:35 → BWI 19:05WN 3196	1h 35m Baltimore	BWI 20:40 → PBI 23:20WN 1045	5h 45m	95%	73%
Southwest Details →	PVD 10:30 → BNA 12:00WN 3400	3h 15m Nashville	BNA 15:15 → PBI 18:25WN 4848	7h 55m	97%	69%
American Details →	PVD 16:42 → CLT 19:04AA 2318	3h 52m Charlotte	CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764	8h 09m	98%	66%
Delta Details →	PVD 13:27 → ATL 16:04DL 2147	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058	7h 24m	98%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON