tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: B6 1145 at 08:10 is the safest bet, 14% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 1145 JetBlue Flight history → RIC 08:10 FLL 10:34 14% 7% 0.7% 87%
B6 1245 JetBlue Flight history → RIC 12:17 FLL 14:38 25% 8% 0.8% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → RIC 06:15 → BWI 07:10WN 3438 2h 40m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 6h 05m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → RIC 06:15 → IAH 08:17UA 2464 1h 43m Houston IAH 10:00 → FLL 13:47UA 2234 7h 32m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → RIC 07:00 → JFK 08:30DL 4660 · flown by Endeavor 2h 44m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 24m 95% 80%
SouthwestDetails → RIC 11:30 → BNA 12:10WN 705 2h 00m Nashville BNA 14:10 → FLL 17:29WN 2689 5h 59m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → RIC 05:59 → LGA 07:25DL 5822 · flown by Republic 3h 30m New York LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181 7h 55m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → RIC 06:55 → ATL 08:39DL 1402 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 32m 96% 79%
DeltaDetails → RIC 10:19 → ATL 11:58DL 1462 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345 7h 04m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → RIC 05:02 → CLT 06:15AA 549 2h 37m Charlotte CLT 08:52 → FLL 10:52AA 2585 5h 50m 97% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → RIC 10:54 → PHL 12:09AA 5894 · flown by Piedmont 54m Philadelphia PHL 13:03 → FLL 15:56AA 2524 5h 02m 68% 47%
AmericanDetails → RIC 15:19 → DFW 17:38AA 2413 1h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:55 → FLL 22:52AA 2946 7h 33m 72% 44%
AmericanDetails → RIC 13:32 → LGA 15:00AA 4501 · flown by Republic 55m New York LGA 15:55 → FLL 19:10AA 3196 5h 38m 51% 27%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON