tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:59 am at San Diego)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 41%, against 27% on a calm day. Safest: WN 1222 at 12:55, 40%.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1222 Southwest Flight history → SAN 12:55 COS 16:20 40% 8% 0.2% 62%
WN 872 Southwest SAN 16:20 COS 19:40 42% 11% 0.2% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAN 16:01 → DEN 19:33UA 682 3h 36m Denver DEN 23:09 → COS 23:59UA 4745 · flown by SkyWest 6h 58m 100% 76%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 18:55 → PHX 20:15WN 4173 2h 25m Phoenix PHX 22:40 → COS 01:25 +1WN 4878 5h 30m 98% 68%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 18:05 → LAS 19:30WN 2352 2h 55m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → COS 01:20 +1WN 2214 6h 15m 100% 68%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 16:25 → LAS 17:50WN 4111 3h 35m Las Vegas LAS 21:25 → COS 00:18 +1WN 2272 6h 53m 100% 67%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 2h 59m Denver DEN 19:05 → COS 20:01UA 4793 · flown by SkyWest 6h 28m 94% 63%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 13:50 → PHX 15:15WN 765 3h 46m Phoenix PHX 19:01 → COS 21:49WN 2829 6h 59m 100% 62%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 16:29 → LAS 17:51WN 1943 1h 59m Las Vegas LAS 19:50 → COS 22:45WN 4487 5h 16m 92% 59%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 13:55 → DAL 19:05WN 4097 1h 25m Dallas DAL 20:30 → COS 21:35WN 1245 6h 40m 82% 57%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAN 11:57 → DFW 16:26AA 2034 1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 5h 37m 55% 40%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 11:05 → LAS 12:30WN 3507 48m Las Vegas LAS 13:18 → COS 15:38WN 2171 3h 33m 49% 33%
AmericanDetails → SAN 15:08 → DFW 20:30AA 2459 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:25 → COS 22:23AA 790 6h 15m 51% 32%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON