Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:35 am at San Diego); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 955 Southwest	SAN 11:15	GEG 13:55	21%	4%	0.1%	no record
AS 566 Alaska Flight history →	SAN 20:22	GEG 23:07	24%	6%	0.3%	83%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576	3h 48m Portland	PDX 17:31 → GEG 18:44AS 452	7h 40m	99%	81%
Alaska Details →	SAN 08:40 → SEA 11:44AS 753	2h 38m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	6h 45m	96%	78%
Southwest Details →	SAN 09:30 → SJC 11:00WN 4509	3h 25m San Jose	SJC 14:25 → GEG 16:30WN 3670	7h 00m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210	3h 16m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 54m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177	2h 35m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 22m	96%	78%
Southwest Details →	SAN 18:00 → SMF 19:40WN 3549	2h 10m Sacramento	SMF 21:50 → GEG 23:40WN 2805	5h 40m	98%	76%
Southwest Details →	SAN 18:05 → LAS 19:30WN 2352	2h 40m Las Vegas	LAS 22:10 → GEG 00:35 +1WN 4268	6h 30m	100%	74%
Southwest Details →	SAN 09:20 → DEN 12:45WN 3494	3h 20m Denver	DEN 16:05 → GEG 17:30WN 4440	8h 10m	100%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	SAN 13:59 → SEA 16:58AS 465	53m Seattle	SEA 17:51 → GEG 19:00AS 1433	5h 01m	43%	26%
Alaska Details →	SAN 11:21 → SEA 14:25AS 475	53m Seattle	SEA 15:18 → GEG 16:19AS 9411	4h 58m	44%	23%
Alaska Details →	SAN 17:35 → SEA 20:35AS 417	54m Seattle	SEA 21:29 → GEG 22:35AS 347	5h 00m	37%	23%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON