Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 3:32 pm at Savannah); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, WN 777 at 16:50, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 777 Southwest Flight history →	SAV 16:50	HOU 18:15	31%	6%	0.5%	47%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SAV 17:25 → STL 18:30WN 1094	3h 55m St Louis	STL 22:25 → HOU 00:35 +1WN 3004	8h 10m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596	2h 05m Chicago	MDW 19:15 → HOU 21:50WN 1431	6h 55m	98%	71%
Delta Details →	SAV 15:43 → ATL 16:54DL 1067	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051	7h 08m	97%	58%
American Details →	SAV 19:24 → DFW 21:11AA 2509	1h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	5h 32m	79%	50%
Southwest Details →	SAV 21:10 → BNA 21:40WN 3593	1h 05m Nashville	BNA 22:45 → HOU 00:50 +1WN 4474	4h 40m	77%	39%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596	55m Chicago	MDW 18:05 → HOU 20:49WN 2892	5h 54m	74%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON