tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:38 pm at Savannah); 2 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: American via Miami, leaving 18:22, is the safest bet: 65% chance of reaching Houston on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 56% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:22 → MIA 19:55AA 3782 · flown by Envoy 2h 20m Miami MIA 22:15 → IAH 23:59AA 2230 6h 37m 98% 65%
UnitedDetails → SAV 19:11 → IAD 21:12UA 6165 · flown by Mesa 1h 08m Dulles IAD 22:20 → IAH 00:45 +1UA 1986 6h 34m 76% 59%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 5h 50m 88% 59%
AmericanDetails → SAV 17:56 → CLT 19:22AA 5196 · flown by PSA 1h 23m Charlotte CLT 20:45 → IAH 22:27AA 1840 5h 31m 89% 43%
AmericanDetails → SAV 19:24 → DFW 21:11AA 2509 1h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:53 → IAH 00:09 +1AA 3023 5h 45m 87% 40%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:38 → CLT 19:51AA 2076 54m Charlotte CLT 20:45 → IAH 22:27AA 1840 4h 49m 56% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON