Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:24 pm at Savannah); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, WN 3010 at 19:20, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 3010 Southwest	SAV 19:20	MDW 20:47	26%	6%	0.5%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SAV 17:25 → STL 18:30WN 1094	3h 30m St Louis	STL 22:00 → MDW 23:15WN 4099	6h 50m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → MDW 22:15DL 1076	6h 10m	96%	69%
Southwest Details →	SAV 16:50 → HOU 18:15WN 777	1h 35m Houston	HOU 19:50 → MDW 22:19WN 4789	6h 29m	97%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	SAV 21:10 → BNA 21:40WN 3593	55m Nashville	BNA 22:35 → MDW 00:10 +1WN 578	4h 00m	64%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON