Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:55 am at Salt Lake City)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2855 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:25	CLE 22:58	20%	5%	0.6%	82%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SLC 06:55 → MDW 10:55WN 3749	1h 20m Chicago	MDW 12:15 → CLE 14:25WN 1813	5h 30m	100%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Denver	DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619	7h 21m	99%	89%
Southwest Details →	SLC 05:35 → DEN 07:00WN 3737	3h 35m Denver	DEN 10:35 → CLE 15:31WN 1569	7h 56m	100%	85%
United Details →	SLC 08:00 → ORD 12:20UA 1502	2h 00m Chicago	ORD 14:20 → CLE 16:54UA 1502	6h 54m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 20:51 → CLE 23:44DL 1392	7h 44m	98%	85%
American Details →	SLC 07:35 → ORD 11:49AA 2883	3h 01m Chicago	ORD 14:50 → CLE 17:21AA 3454 · flown by Envoy	7h 46m	97%	83%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	3h 38m Houston	IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934	9h 45m	98%	83%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 28m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476	8h 23m	99%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 16:13 → ORD 20:28UA 1963	52m Chicago	ORD 21:20 → CLE 23:49UA 457	5h 36m	57%	46%
United Details →	SLC 11:13 → EWR 17:45UA 1845	50m Newark	EWR 18:35 → CLE 20:24UA 1611	7h 11m	72%	41%
Alaska Details →	SLC 11:17 → SEA 12:30AS 796	47m Seattle	SEA 13:17 → CLE 20:44AS 263	7h 27m	22%	15%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON