tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → SLC 10:45 FLL 17:28 13% 3% 0.6% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Denver DEN 09:57 → FLL 16:03UA 1214 8h 48m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:21 → SFO 17:23UA 1955 3h 52m San Francisco SFO 21:15 → FLL 05:59 +1UA 1230 11h 38m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → ATL 11:43DL 8770 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 7h 41m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345 8h 23m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 1h 06m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 34m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 8h 30m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:20 → IAD 15:31UA 2264 2h 11m Dulles IAD 17:42 → FLL 20:32UA 1379 9h 12m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 54m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 8h 44m 98% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → ATL 11:43DL 8770 48m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 27m 73% 62%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 06:23 → SEA 07:35AS 1444 48m Seattle SEA 08:23 → FLL 17:27AS 516 9h 04m 68% 52%
AmericanDetails → SLC 14:00 → DFW 17:50AA 2613 1h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:55 → FLL 22:52AA 2946 6h 52m 73% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON