tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 7:40 am at Salt Lake City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2100 Delta Flight history → SLC 09:25 MSY 13:47 11% 2% 0.2% 88%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:00 → ORD 12:20UA 1502 1h 45m Chicago ORD 14:05 → MSY 16:49UA 3658 · flown by Republic 7h 49m 95% 85%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 10:40 → DEN 12:05WN 3739 1h 45m Denver DEN 13:50 → MSY 17:34WN 3419 5h 54m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 1h 16m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 6h 25m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 02m Denver DEN 13:29 → MSY 17:19UA 250 7h 49m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:48 → IAD 16:17UA 1322 1h 52m Dulles IAD 18:09 → MSY 20:03UA 251 9h 15m 100% 81%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 18:44 → SEA 20:00AS 665 3h 13m Seattle SEA 23:13 → MSY 05:49 +1AS 490 10h 05m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 22:07 → MSY 22:37DL 2072 8h 02m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:35 → ORD 17:00UA 1178 3h 11m Chicago ORD 20:11 → MSY 22:46UA 1761 9h 11m 96% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON