Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:49 am at Salt Lake City); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 3896 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:30	OMA 16:51	16%	4%	0.1%	94%worse than usual
DL 3706 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 20:40	OMA 23:58	21%	4%	0.1%	84%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	3h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → OMA 19:47DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	3h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	7h 48m	98%	79%
Southwest Details →	SLC 14:05 → MDW 18:05WN 3750	3h 20m Chicago	MDW 21:25 → OMA 23:00WN 2845	7h 55m	100%	75%
Southwest Details →	SLC 12:20 → DEN 13:50WN 1478	2h 45m Denver	DEN 16:35 → OMA 19:12WN 1707	5h 52m	100%	75%
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Denver	DEN 18:05 → OMA 20:42UA 1436	6h 37m	97%	71%
American Details →	SLC 15:24 → ORD 19:44AA 3258	3h 16m Chicago	ORD 23:00 → OMA 00:37 +1AA 3198	8h 13m	100%	67%
Frontier Details →	SLC 11:31 → DEN 13:09F9 3220	3h 31m Denver	DEN 16:40 → OMA 19:15F9 1874	6h 44m	98%	65%
American Details →	SLC 14:00 → DFW 17:50AA 2613	3h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → OMA 23:22AA 2628	8h 22m	99%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	47m Denver	DEN 15:38 → OMA 18:19UA 5251 · flown by SkyWest	4h 14m	60%	47%
American Details →	SLC 16:42 → DFW 20:30AA 2594	1h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → OMA 23:22AA 2628	5h 40m	67%	43%
United Details →	SLC 16:13 → ORD 20:29UA 1963	46m Chicago	ORD 21:15 → OMA 22:48UA 2336	5h 35m	47%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON