Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:43 am at Santa Ana)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


AS 2020 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	SNA 11:25	GEG 13:59	17%	4%	0.0%	83%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SNA 12:33 → BOI 15:39AS 1606	3h 14m Boise	BOI 18:53 → GEG 19:01AS 2030 · flown by Horizon	6h 28m	100%	82%
United Details →	SNA 06:45 → DEN 10:16UA 513	3h 30m Denver	DEN 13:46 → GEG 15:11UA 324	8h 26m	100%	82%
Alaska Details →	SNA 18:09 → PDX 20:31AS 589	1h 19m Portland	PDX 21:50 → GEG 22:59AS 1356	4h 50m	96%	81%
Alaska Details →	SNA 08:05 → SEA 10:55AS 702	3h 27m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	7h 20m	97%	79%
Alaska Details →	SNA 07:00 → PDX 09:24AS 750	1h 06m Portland	PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250	4h 45m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	SNA 17:03 → SLC 19:58DL 1277	3h 17m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 52m	99%	78%
Southwest Details →	SNA 08:10 → SJC 09:30WN 3859	2h 15m San Jose	SJC 11:45 → GEG 13:54WN 3534	5h 44m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	SNA 09:50 → SLC 12:46DL 1198	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	6h 18m	95%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	SNA 12:05 → SEA 14:54AS 548	57m Seattle	SEA 15:51 → GEG 16:59AS 3305 · flown by SkyWest	4h 54m	56%	43%
American Details →	SNA 12:55 → DFW 18:14AA 2669	47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:01 → GEG 20:57AA 2757	8h 02m	47%	25%
Alaska Details →	SNA 08:05 → SEA 10:55AS 702	47m Seattle	SEA 11:42 → GEG 12:48AS 454	4h 43m	36%	22%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON