tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:51 am at Syracuse); 2 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, MQ 3857 at 13:15, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
MQ 3857 Envoy SYR 13:15 BOS 14:40 18% 8% 1.0% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SYR 17:49 → ORD 19:05UA 1067 2h 36m Chicago ORD 21:41 → BOS 01:14 +1UA 1779 7h 25m 93% 76%
DeltaDetails → SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690 1h 12m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → BOS 01:20 +1DL 865 6h 26m 87% 72%
DeltaDetails → SYR 11:21 → JFK 12:39DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor 1h 51m New York JFK 14:30 → BOS 16:08DL 5595 · flown by Republic 4h 47m 95% 70%
AmericanDetails → SYR 16:56 → ORD 18:14AA 3819 · flown by Envoy 2h 15m Chicago ORD 20:29 → BOS 00:05 +1AA 2682 7h 09m 95% 67%
DeltaDetails → SYR 17:16 → DTW 18:52DL 3565 · flown by SkyWest 3h 07m Detroit DTW 21:59 → BOS 23:59DL 1187 6h 43m 98% 65%
DeltaDetails → SYR 13:42 → DTW 15:17DL 3533 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Detroit DTW 17:58 → BOS 20:00DL 1707 6h 18m 97% 65%
UnitedDetails → SYR 19:52 → IAD 21:20UA 4853 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 05m Dulles IAD 22:25 → BOS 00:23 +1UA 1866 4h 31m 83% 60%
UnitedDetails → SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet 2h 15m Chicago ORD 15:30 → BOS 18:50UA 487 6h 54m 95% 60%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet 54m Chicago ORD 14:09 → BOS 17:50UA 1928 5h 54m 74% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON