Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:16 am at Syracuse); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


DL 5436 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	SYR 11:21	JFK 12:39	14%	5%	3.8%	86%
DL 5328 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	SYR 16:57	JFK 18:25	19%	10%	5.3%	81%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	SYR 10:42 → ORD 11:56AA 4044 · flown by Envoy	54m Chicago	ORD 12:50 → JFK 16:28AA 4371 · flown by Republic	5h 46m	89%	80%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → JFK 23:09DL 2101	7h 23m	94%	79%
Delta Details →	SYR 18:54 → ATL 21:28DL 2690	1h 13m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → JFK 00:50 +1DL 1632	5h 56m	88%	73%
Delta Details →	SYR 13:42 → DTW 15:17DL 3533 · flown by SkyWest	1h 01m Detroit	DTW 16:18 → JFK 18:29DL 2934	4h 47m	85%	72%
American Details →	SYR 13:18 → DCA 14:52AA 5589 · flown by PSA	3h 19m Washington	DCA 18:11 → JFK 19:48AA 4629 · flown by Republic	6h 30m	96%	72%
American Details →	SYR 12:15 → CLT 14:24AA 3080	3h 38m Charlotte	CLT 18:02 → JFK 20:06AA 657	7h 51m	99%	68%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 13:29 → MCO 16:20B6 655	2h 18m Orlando	MCO 18:38 → JFK 21:29B6 1284	8h 00m	92%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON