Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:06 am at Tulsa)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 126 Southwest	TUL 13:35	HOU 15:20	13%	2%	0.5%	no record
WN 680 Southwest Flight history →	TUL 12:25	HOU 14:05	20%	3%	0.2%	81%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	TUL 05:35 → DAL 06:40WN 4814	1h 50m Dallas	DAL 08:30 → HOU 09:45WN 7	4h 10m	99%	88%
Southwest Details →	TUL 10:10 → DAL 11:15WN 4053	3h 15m Dallas	DAL 14:30 → HOU 15:49WN 33	5h 39m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	TUL 06:35 → PHX 07:05WN 4287	1h 00m Phoenix	PHX 08:05 → HOU 12:40WN 2833	6h 05m	94%	80%
American Details →	TUL 05:00 → DFW 06:17AA 3988 · flown by Envoy	1h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:33 → HOU 08:51AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	3h 51m	95%	80%
Delta Details →	TUL 10:04 → ATL 13:05DL 2754	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381	6h 18m	98%	77%
American Details →	TUL 13:04 → DFW 14:28AA 2352	4h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:28 → HOU 20:06AA 3391 · flown by Envoy	7h 02m	100%	76%
American Details →	TUL 05:59 → DFW 07:14AA 1090	1h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:25 → HOU 09:48AA 5071 · flown by PSA	3h 49m	93%	73%
Southwest Details →	TUL 18:40 → DAL 19:45WN 4054	2h 15m Dallas	DAL 22:00 → HOU 23:15WN 63	4h 35m	94%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	TUL 15:49 → DFW 17:13AA 5420 · flown by PSA	1h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:28 → HOU 20:06AA 3391 · flown by Envoy	4h 17m	68%	52%
American Details →	TUL 20:26 → DFW 21:49AA 2889	49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	3h 30m	60%	40%
Southwest Details →	TUL 17:20 → MCO 21:10WN 2091	1h 10m Orlando	MCO 22:20 → HOU 23:50WN 2645	6h 30m	69%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON