Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 7:09 am at Tulsa)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


AS 2320 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record	TUL 15:07	SAN 16:15	51%	10%	1.9%	49%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Tulsa). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	TUL 08:00 → SLC 09:55DL 4006 · flown by SkyWest	1h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296	6h 08m	94%	74%
United Details →	TUL 09:22 → DEN 10:10UA 1029	3h 20m Denver	DEN 13:30 → SAN 14:55UA 1302	7h 33m	99%	71%
United Details →	TUL 15:43 → IAH 17:24UA 5301 · flown by SkyWest	2h 35m Houston	IAH 19:59 → SAN 21:39UA 1911	7h 56m	98%	70%
American Details →	TUL 08:48 → PHX 09:25AA 3434 · flown by Envoy	1h 31m Phoenix	PHX 10:56 → SAN 12:29AA 1851	5h 41m	100%	70%
United Details →	TUL 11:44 → DEN 12:44UA 5276 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 15:55 → SAN 17:20UA 1281	7h 36m	98%	69%
United Details →	TUL 09:50 → ORD 12:00UA 5717 · flown by SkyWest	1h 44m Chicago	ORD 13:44 → SAN 16:04UA 559	8h 14m	99%	68%
Southwest Details →	TUL 10:20 → DEN 11:00WN 690	1h 55m Denver	DEN 12:55 → SAN 14:15WN 3503	5h 55m	99%	68%
Southwest Details →	TUL 07:20 → LAS 08:05WN 2720	1h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 09:30 → SAN 10:47WN 1762	5h 27m	94%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	TUL 18:09 → SEA 20:17AS 2220 · flown by Horizon	51m Seattle	SEA 21:08 → SAN 23:54AS 600	7h 45m	65%	42%
United Details →	TUL 13:41 → IAH 15:29UA 5637 · flown by SkyWest	50m Houston	IAH 16:19 → SAN 17:40UA 2798	5h 59m	67%	40%
American Details →	TUL 20:26 → DFW 21:49AA 2889	1h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:55 → SAN 23:59AA 2568	5h 33m	67%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON