tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:35, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Boston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → AVL 05:35 → ATL 06:34DL 2712 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855 7h 10m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → AVL 06:00 → CLT 06:58AA 5489 · flown by PSA 3h 19m Charlotte CLT 10:17 → BOS 12:34AA 2263 6h 34m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → AVL 10:05 → ATL 11:05DL 3077 2h 53m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → BOS 16:44DL 726 6h 39m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → AVL 15:26 → ATL 16:33DL 3099 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 20:08 → BOS 22:47DL 821 7h 21m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → AVL 07:53 → ATL 08:57DL 2853 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 12:22 → BOS 14:46DL 1293 6h 53m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → AVL 13:59 → ATL 15:03DL 1182 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518 5h 31m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → AVL 10:48 → ORD 11:54UA 4652 · flown by SkyWest 2h 17m Chicago ORD 14:11 → BOS 17:56UA 1928 7h 08m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → AVL 11:21 → ORD 12:26AA 3963 · flown by Envoy 1h 40m Chicago ORD 14:06 → BOS 18:00AA 2456 6h 39m 98% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON